In keeping with our need to see how are predictions are doing, we assess our predictions for From Paris with Love. ...Though, looking at their weekend gross, it appears as though nobody really cares.
Our IMDB prediction was 5.7, and currently From Paris with Love has an overall rating of 6.5. But as we said before, ratings after the first weekend will likely be inflated. When we assessed Edge of Darkness last week, IMDB's score was 7.4, but since then it has dropped to a 7.1, bringing it ever (inexorably?) closer to our predicted score of 6.7. Hopefully we'll see the same trend with From Paris with Love.
Showing posts with label Edge of Darkness. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Edge of Darkness. Show all posts
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Thursday, February 4, 2010
How did we do: Edge of Darkness
So, how were our predictions for Edge of Darkness?
First, the OK news. Our statistical model predicted an IMDB score of 6.7 and as of this writing, Edge of Darkness has a rating of 7.4. We were a little off, but keep in mind that these ratings are from the first people to rate the movie (or in other words, these are people who saw it and were likely excited about seeing it). We expect the score to lower in the next couple months, and then when it gets released for rental, we might be right on the money!
For now though, we'll cheer ourselves up and look at what we got right. You might know that IMDB gathers demographic info from people who rate their movies so that different statistics can be broken out. From here, we can answer the question, who do we best represent? Judging from the image below...
... we represent Females Aged 18-29. Awesome. Maybe this will turn out to be a pattern. See if the pattern continues next week.
And in our own self-interest, we bury the bad news after the jump.
First, the OK news. Our statistical model predicted an IMDB score of 6.7 and as of this writing, Edge of Darkness has a rating of 7.4. We were a little off, but keep in mind that these ratings are from the first people to rate the movie (or in other words, these are people who saw it and were likely excited about seeing it). We expect the score to lower in the next couple months, and then when it gets released for rental, we might be right on the money!
For now though, we'll cheer ourselves up and look at what we got right. You might know that IMDB gathers demographic info from people who rate their movies so that different statistics can be broken out. From here, we can answer the question, who do we best represent? Judging from the image below...
... we represent Females Aged 18-29. Awesome. Maybe this will turn out to be a pattern. See if the pattern continues next week.
And in our own self-interest, we bury the bad news after the jump.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Review: Edge of Darkness with Mel Gibson
As stated in the first post, the purpose of this blog is to create movie reviews based on data taken from the movie's preview. Here we give Edge of Darkness a score (based on IMDBs 1-10 ranking) and we also predict exactly how much it will make opening weekend.
Predicted IMDB score: 6.7
Predicted weekend gross: $35 million
Predicted per-theater gross: $8,000
In about a week, we'll see how we do. Details on the review after the jump.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)